Global warming introduces new criteria that determine real estate values during the summer months. While increasing temperatures increase the demand for residences in cool climate regions, buildings with climate adaptation become attractive for investors. Factors such as microclimate, natural air flow, insulation quality and environmental certificates come to the fore when choosing real estate. This transformation brings about a radical change in the sector, from housing preferences to marketing strategies.
Rising temperature levels have triggered an unexpected transformation in the real estate sector. In summer, real estate value is now shaped by environmental criteria such as microclimate and climate adaptation, in addition to location and transportation advantages. While residences in cool regions gain value, temperature-resistant designs gain a premium. This forces investors to think beyond traditional criteria and makes climate adaptation the new determining factor of the real estate sector.
The Role of Rising Temperatures on Housing Preferences
The year 2024 went down in history as the 'hottest year' of the last 53 years with an average temperature of 15.6 degrees. The temperature value was 1.7 degrees above the 1991-2020 average of 13.9 degrees. The increase in temperature has made the climatic comfort factor important in real estate value calculations during the summer months.
The Prominence of Cool Regions in the Housing Market
It is observed that the demand for housing increases in regions with high altitude and natural air flow. Investors who invest in housing in cool regions benefit from the increase in real estate value during the summer months, while also providing long-term value protection.
Square meter prices in coastal settlements with natural air flow, such as Bozcaada, Alaçatı and Kaş, are significantly higher than similar residences in inland areas.
Climate Comfort Becomes a Transforming Factor in Property Selection
Climate-based preference changes in real estate valuation processes expand the traditional location, transportation and opportunity triangle with a fourth dimension. While the demand for detached houses with gardens is increasing, projects with large shade areas are becoming more preferred. Climate comfort is no longer seen as a luxury, but as a basic need.
Do Moving Habits Change During the Summer Season?
During the traditional moving period between June and September, significant transformations are experienced in the dynamics of the housing sector due to climate change. The trend of moving in the summer months is no longer solely dependent on the education calendar, but is shaped by the search for warmth and comfort.
How much does temperature increase affect the decision to move?
The table below includes the main developments such as temperature trend, return on investment and price for 2024:
Category
Developments
Real Estate Value Effect in Summer
Temperature Trend
1.7°C increase (2024)
Increasing demand in cooler regions
Investment Return
14 years (2024)
Advantage in climate-friendly housing
Average Price
29.724 TL/m² (2024)
Microclimate effect creates premium
The correlation between heat waves and house prices is especially evident in regions where extreme temperatures persist for long periods of time. Climate comfort factor is becoming increasingly influential among the motivations for moving in the summer.
The Impact of Regional Migration Waves on Real Estate
With the wave of migration from Central Anatolia to the Aegean and Mediterranean coasts, real estate values in summer areas are increasing. According to Makro Life data, coastal areas stand out among the regions where real estate values increase the most in the summer months. Significant value increases are observed in regions such as Çeşme and surrounding districts, Kaş-Kalkan line and Bozcaada.
The Reflection of Global Warming on Real Estate Value
Research analyzing the relationship between global warming and real estate value shows that new parameters come into play in real estate value calculations during the summer months.
Climate influence on housing choices now includes technical details such as microclimate analysis, air flow maps and canopy planning.
Asymmetric price effect: The increase in temperature creates a significant divergence on house prices. Thick-walled natural stone houses, wooden roof systems and residences adopting traditional Turkish house architecture show natural resistance to heat. While heat-resistant structures gain premium, modern buildings with glass facades and residences with inadequate thermal insulation lose value.
Residences with strong climate adaptation: Projects with double-skinned facade systems, green roof applications and smart glass technology are sought after in the summer months. Features such as automatic shading systems, underfloor cooling and in-wall ventilation channels are decisive in housing preference.
Certification advantage: Projects with environmentally friendly building certifications such as LEED, BREEAM and Türkiye Green Building Certificate gain a 15-20% price premium in terms of energy saving and comfort. Certified residences provide a distinct advantage over their competitors in increasing real estate value during the summer months.
Transformation in marketing strategies: While expressions such as "air-conditioned", "shaded balcony", "cross ventilation" come to the fore in real estate marketing, features that were once considered advantages, such as "panoramic glass facade", are turning into disadvantages.
Value impact of technological solutions: Climate control integrated with smart home systems, sensor-supported automatic curtain systems and energy recovery units are among the technologies that increase housing value. Houses with smart home systems have 10-15% higher rental income in the summer months compared to traditional houses.
Recommendations for Investors: Property Selection in Line with the Effects of Climate Change
A strategic approach is required for real estate value optimization in the summer months. In summer house valuation processes, adding climate comfort scoring to traditional valuation criteria minimizes investment risk. Particularly the best real estate consultants offer their clients evaluations that include climate projections.
Important factors that investors should pay attention to are:
While regions such as Çeşme and Bodrum under the influence of the sea breeze provide natural cooling, the high-altitude Uludağ and Abant surroundings offer the advantage of warmth in summer. Houses around forest areas gain value with their natural shading and clean air quality.
A+ class energy certified buildings preserve investment value while minimizing cooling costs. Smart climate systems, VRF cooling technology and thermal glass applications provide long-term cost advantages.
There is a problem of overheating at noon in east-west facing residences. Housing with north-south orientation, wide eaves and cross ventilation should be preferred. Deciduous trees in the garden arrangement provide shade in summer and sun in winter.
While residences on the shores of lakes, streams or the sea benefit from the microclimate advantage, they also offer water sports and recreation opportunities. However, river beds with flood risk should be avoided.
In cases where using public transportation becomes difficult in extreme heat in summer, regions with alternative transportation routes are in an advantageous position. Proximity to closed public transportation systems such as metro and tram is a reason for preference.
Global warming and real estate value dynamics make the sustainability of real estate value increase in the summer months directly related to the long-term climate adaptation capacity of the region. Investments made taking into account 2030-2050 climate scenarios are of great importance in terms of preserving future value.
Frequently Asked Questions About Global Warming and Real Estate Value
How does the relationship between global warming and real estate value work?
While housing values are under pressure in areas exposed to high temperatures, values increase in areas with cool microclimates.
In which regions does climate change make real estate investment risky?
The steppe climate regions of Central Anatolia, densely concreted city centers and valleys with limited air flow are at risk.
What should be considered when buying a summer house?
Height above sea level, prevailing wind direction, green area density in the surrounding area and proximity to water resources are among the priority criteria.
What are the climate-friendly housing features?
Wide eaves, cross ventilation, natural shade, insulation quality and renewable energy systems are among the basic features of climate-friendly residences.
Which regions will global warming and real estate value trends support in the future?
Plateau regions in the interior of the coastal areas, areas with dense forest cover and settlements with natural air corridors have potential.
